Pocket Protectors

From the ArgMax website (“Your Congress at Work“), we see that the pocket lobby may have Congess in its pocket: “A spokesman for Rep. Bob Inglis, R-S.C., confirmed Inglis voted for the Oman deal after being assured by House Majority Leader Boehner that the House would take up the CAFTA fixes. The language would implement…

Bayes for President

Greg Mankiw’s Blog looks to online betting for the odds that McCain, Clinton, Giuliani, and Edwards will will the 2008 Presidential Election in his POTUS 2008 post.  McCain has the edge, but Hilary Clinton is a close second.  Using Bayes rule, however, Mankiw shows that if Edwards were to be the Democratic nominee, he would…

Medicare Fraud: $630 million

Why is publicly provided health care so expensive?  One reason is the the fraud which is bound to occur.  The New York Times reports (“Hospital Grew…“) that New Jersey’s largest health care provider–St. Barnabas Health Care System–bilked $630 million from the federal government between 1995 to 2003.  Medicare pays extra cash to hospitals for the…

Health and Long-Term Care Costs in Japan

By 2050, almost 1/3 of the Japanese population will be composed of individuals over the age of 65.  While this will certainly affect Japanese old-age pension schemes, it will also lead to large increases in the Japanese government’s outlay’s for health and long-term care costs.  Fukui and Iwamoto (2006) estimate the size of this increase in…

The Easy ‘A’

As a teacher’s assistant at UCSD, I often see undergraduate students selecting courses based on how easy the professor grades rather than on the amount of knowledge they will be able to glean from the course.  Why is this?  Arnold Kling gives a four main reasons in his “College Customers v. Suppliers” post on the…

PacAdvantage: Adverse Selection Death Spiral

The adverse selection death spiral has reared its ugly head again.  PacAdvantage, an insurance pooling company for 6000 small and medium sized businesses in California has closed its doors.  The Sacramento Business Journal reports (“Backer pulls plug on PacAdvantage health purchasing pool“) that the three remaining insurers underwriting the plan have pulled out.   Michael Holt of The…

Looking at healthcare…health care…health-care????

Healthcare Economist.  Why not Health Care Economist?  Or Health-care Economist?  Which one is correct? The Chicago Manual of Style webpage offers a discussion of the issue.  The site claims that ‘health care’ is the correct spelling according to Webster’s Collegiate Dictionary, eleventh edition.  One individual, however, writes to the website saying: “I find in my American…

How profitable is risk selection?

Many papers on health insurance worry about the problem of adverse selection.  Critics of HMOs claim that the fact that HMOs have lower costs is not due to more efficient provision of services nor the limitation of the provision of services, but instead largely caused by the fact that the people who choose to enroll…

Crisis of Abundance Conference

On August 29th, 2006 there will be a book forum discussing The Crisis of Abundance by Arnold Kling.  While I have not yet read this book, I do respect Mr. Kling’s work and am anxious to see him discuss his views in this type of setting.  The book made the top 10 list of the…

The Effect of Health Shocks and Aging on Asset Allocation

If one does not include Social Security and defined benefit assets, households with heads aged 65-74 have net assets of $190,100.  Households with heads aged 75 and above have net assets of $163,100.  How do the elderly allocate their assets?  Does their portfolio choice change over time?  Does it change in response to health shocks?   These are the…